← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University2.73+4.76vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.35vs Predicted
-
3Washington College2.45+3.69vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.67vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College2.70+1.08vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University2.46+0.77vs Predicted
-
7University of Virginia3.01-2.10vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University2.38-1.11vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida2.07-1.13vs Predicted
-
10Hampton University0.60+1.51vs Predicted
-
11University of Buffalo1.34-1.15vs Predicted
-
12Hampton University2.28-4.80vs Predicted
-
13Villanova University1.59-4.00vs Predicted
-
14North Carolina State University-1.09-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.76Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
-
3.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.3%1st Place
-
6.69Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.08Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
-
6.77Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
-
4.9University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
-
6.89Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.87University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
-
11.51Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
-
9.85University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
-
7.2Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
-
9.0Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
-
13.45North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Dumaliang | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 25.1% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ben Buhl | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Stessing | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Bess | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 0.5% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 16.7% | 39.5% | 14.1% |
| Luke Miller | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 3.4% |
| Veronica Maccari | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Domenic Re | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 1.4% |
| Nichole Palen | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 10.3% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.