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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.81+7.98vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+5.71vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.39+7.00vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.54+6.67vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.58+5.46vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+2.14vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.88+2.31vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.32-0.79vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.57+2.33vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.90+3.18vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.47-0.15vs Predicted
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12Catholic University of America1.31-1.16vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.78-7.39vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.12-4.98vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.70-5.11vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-5.77vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.47-6.31vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.51-11.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Old Dominion University1.815.2%1st Place
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7.71Boston University1.797.6%1st Place
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10.0Jacksonville University1.395.1%1st Place
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10.67College of Charleston1.544.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Vermont1.584.1%1st Place
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8.14Bowdoin College2.247.0%1st Place
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9.31Cornell University1.885.6%1st Place
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7.21University of Miami2.328.3%1st Place
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11.33University of Michigan1.573.1%1st Place
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13.18University of South Florida0.901.8%1st Place
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10.85Eckerd College1.474.1%1st Place
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10.84Catholic University of America1.313.6%1st Place
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5.61University of Rhode Island2.7812.9%1st Place
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9.02Harvard University2.126.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Wisconsin1.705.1%1st Place
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10.23Fordham University1.574.3%1st Place
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10.69Hampton University1.473.5%1st Place
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6.9SUNY Maritime College2.518.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Taylor Hasson | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
| Alden Grimes | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 25.4% |
| Sean Tallman | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% |
| John McKenna | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Bartel | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.