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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.45+5.62vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.70+3.71vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia3.01+2.05vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-0.58vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.73+1.03vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.38+1.03vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.28-0.04vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.38vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.07-1.11vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.59-0.72vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.46-4.29vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo1.34-2.17vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.60-1.62vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-1.09-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.71Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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3.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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6.03Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.03Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.96Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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7.89University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
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9.28Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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6.71Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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11.38Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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13.48North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Siegel | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Siemers | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 22.8% | 21.8% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Veronica Maccari | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Max Neubelt | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bess | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Domenic Re | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.6% |
| Ben Buhl | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Luke Miller | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 3.5% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 41.0% | 11.7% |
| Nichole Palen | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 10.4% | 80.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.