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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.51+5.96vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.39+8.00vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.12+6.02vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.70+5.96vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.79+2.58vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.81+2.93vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78-1.57vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.54+2.64vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.32-1.97vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57+0.28vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.58-0.63vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.90+1.20vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.57-1.62vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America1.31-2.78vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.88-5.72vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.47-5.39vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.24-8.59vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.47-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96SUNY Maritime College2.5110.0%1st Place
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10.0Jacksonville University1.394.0%1st Place
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9.02Harvard University2.125.9%1st Place
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9.96University of Wisconsin1.704.2%1st Place
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7.58Boston University1.797.3%1st Place
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8.93Old Dominion University1.815.4%1st Place
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5.43University of Rhode Island2.7814.2%1st Place
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10.64College of Charleston1.543.8%1st Place
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7.03University of Miami2.329.9%1st Place
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10.28Fordham University1.574.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont1.584.1%1st Place
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13.2University of South Florida0.902.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Michigan1.573.3%1st Place
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11.22Catholic University of America1.312.7%1st Place
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9.28Cornell University1.885.5%1st Place
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10.61Eckerd College1.474.7%1st Place
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8.41Bowdoin College2.245.5%1st Place
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10.71Hampton University1.473.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Bartel | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Hasson | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 24.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% |
| John McKenna | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Sean Tallman | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.