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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.06+9.82vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.08+4.92vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+6.27vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.60+4.27vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.84+6.92vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.42+1.99vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10-0.09vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.68+0.06vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.97-1.88vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.98-2.16vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.65-2.90vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.71-0.70vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.57-3.94vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-5.08vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.25-0.89vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.26-5.70vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.72-4.47vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College0.90-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.82University of Michigan1.063.4%1st Place
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6.92Bowdoin College2.089.8%1st Place
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9.27Jacksonville University1.555.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Wisconsin1.606.7%1st Place
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11.92University of Miami0.842.9%1st Place
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7.99SUNY Maritime College0.427.1%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University2.108.8%1st Place
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8.06Cornell University1.687.4%1st Place
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7.12College of Charleston1.978.9%1st Place
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7.84Fordham University1.987.5%1st Place
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8.1Boston University1.656.6%1st Place
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11.3University of Vermont0.713.2%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University1.575.4%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.545.9%1st Place
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14.11University of South Florida0.251.5%1st Place
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10.3University of Rhode Island1.264.4%1st Place
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12.53Hampton University0.722.3%1st Place
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11.57Eckerd College0.902.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Matthew King | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% |
| Nick Chisari | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Max Anker | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Porter Kavle | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Micky Munns | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Lucas Sawin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 33.5% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.8% |
| Griffin Richardson | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.