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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.81+9.21vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.92+3.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+8.82vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.19+4.35vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.28+2.91vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.17+2.45vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.34+0.78vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.00+5.21vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-0.98vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.06vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.16-2.34vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University4.31-3.74vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.95-3.69vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.64-3.59vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.62-4.22vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.49-4.54vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.84-6.94vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.61-7.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.21Tufts University3.810.0%1st Place
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5.57Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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11.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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8.35Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.91Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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13.21SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.02St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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10.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.31Georgetown University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.41Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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11.46University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.06Salve Regina University3.840.0%1st Place
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10.67Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Criezis | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
| Taylor Canfield | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 10.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Jeff Knowles | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| John Stokes | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Ted Green | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 26.6% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Martin Sterling | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Marco Teixidor | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Peter Stemler | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% |
| Will Stocke | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% |
| Patrick Clancy | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.