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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+4.02vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.59+4.56vs Predicted
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3Harvard University-0.07+5.48vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.80+1.22vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.11-0.15vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.43+0.79vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.37+2.14vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.05-1.93vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.75-3.35vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.01-4.73vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73-0.47vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.58-2.30vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-1.48vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.97-1.01vs Predicted
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15Bates College-1.55-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Northeastern University1.1813.2%1st Place
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6.56Fairfield University0.597.2%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University-0.073.9%1st Place
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5.22University of Vermont0.8011.8%1st Place
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4.85Tufts University1.1113.9%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University0.435.6%1st Place
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9.14University of New Hampshire-0.373.8%1st Place
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6.07Bowdoin College0.059.0%1st Place
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5.65Brown University0.7511.1%1st Place
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5.27Boston University1.0112.4%1st Place
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10.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.731.9%1st Place
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9.7Salve Regina University-0.583.3%1st Place
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11.52University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.081.4%1st Place
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12.99Middlebury College-1.970.6%1st Place
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12.21Bates College-1.551.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ted Richardsson | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 2.7% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emery Diemar | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 8.0% |
| Emilia Perriera | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 4.3% |
| Kai Latham | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 15.7% |
| Kate Adams | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 19.5% | 42.5% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 24.1% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.