Race 3B

maisa-saisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ethan Lounsbury 8.1% 9.4% 12.3% 8.4% 9.8% 9.6% 11.6% 9.5% 8.3% 7.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Christopher Craven 10.3% 10.9% 10.0% 11.2% 9.9% 11.2% 10.1% 9.5% 7.9% 4.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.2%
Jonathan Lutz 19.2% 15.2% 15.1% 11.7% 12.7% 8.1% 6.7% 5.5% 4.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Bailey 13.9% 16.4% 11.8% 13.7% 10.7% 10.5% 7.2% 7.3% 4.6% 3.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Austin Powers 6.1% 7.8% 8.8% 10.8% 9.9% 10.1% 10.2% 9.0% 10.4% 8.8% 5.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Giuditta Di Laghi 7.8% 6.3% 7.9% 8.9% 9.0% 9.8% 10.1% 10.8% 10.4% 9.5% 6.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 13.4% 12.8% 10.7% 11.1% 11.9% 9.1% 9.3% 8.8% 5.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Erik Brydges 8.8% 9.1% 7.8% 9.4% 8.4% 9.7% 11.4% 9.3% 10.2% 7.9% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Rory Mess 2.3% 2.0% 2.2% 1.9% 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 4.9% 7.8% 12.5% 20.0% 20.5% 11.3% 4.0%
Jela-Ni McCarthy 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 1.8% 1.4% 4.7% 10.0% 17.7% 27.3% 30.1%
Alex Heid 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 3.9% 9.0% 15.2% 24.7% 38.8%
Matthew Dockstader 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 1.5% 1.2% 1.9% 1.2% 2.0% 2.9% 5.6% 10.0% 21.2% 25.8% 25.3%
Dean Nixon 3.6% 3.1% 4.2% 3.5% 5.0% 5.3% 6.3% 9.6% 11.9% 14.9% 13.3% 11.9% 6.0% 1.4%
Charles Skord 5.2% 5.3% 6.9% 5.8% 7.3% 9.5% 8.9% 10.2% 12.8% 11.9% 10.5% 4.0% 1.6% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.