Race 4B

maisa-saisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jonathan Lutz 18.5% 18.9% 14.0% 12.4% 9.6% 7.4% 6.5% 5.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1%
Austin Powers 8.9% 9.9% 9.4% 8.4% 9.0% 10.5% 11.5% 10.0% 8.9% 7.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Christopher Craven 10.2% 9.7% 12.0% 9.7% 9.8% 10.3% 9.5% 10.4% 7.9% 6.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Ethan Lounsbury 7.3% 9.7% 10.0% 9.9% 8.7% 11.3% 10.7% 8.8% 9.0% 7.4% 4.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Erik Brydges 6.9% 7.8% 8.4% 9.5% 10.9% 10.0% 10.3% 9.7% 9.7% 9.1% 5.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Charles Skord 5.8% 4.6% 5.2% 5.7% 7.7% 8.4% 10.7% 8.4% 11.7% 12.0% 11.3% 6.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Dean Nixon 3.8% 3.1% 4.3% 5.3% 6.8% 4.8% 6.3% 8.3% 10.8% 13.8% 16.1% 11.0% 4.5% 1.1%
Ryan Bailey 16.4% 14.9% 13.3% 12.3% 11.6% 8.0% 6.8% 7.1% 5.6% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 7.8% 6.8% 7.6% 7.7% 10.5% 10.4% 9.1% 12.0% 10.7% 8.1% 5.3% 3.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 10.9% 10.8% 11.2% 13.6% 9.1% 10.2% 10.7% 9.2% 7.0% 3.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Alex Heid 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 1.2% 0.4% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.9% 3.8% 7.4% 15.4% 24.3% 40.8%
Jela-Ni McCarthy 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 2.5% 4.4% 8.8% 18.9% 27.7% 28.9%
Rory Mess 2.2% 2.2% 2.5% 2.4% 2.7% 4.5% 3.8% 5.3% 7.7% 13.3% 19.4% 17.7% 11.7% 4.6%
Matthew Dockstader 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 1.5% 2.0% 2.9% 6.4% 10.9% 18.8% 27.4% 23.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.