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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.11+5.17vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.71+2.46vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.27+2.85vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia2.39+1.53vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.92vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76+1.34vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.54-2.12vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.25+0.53vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.21-2.93vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.20-3.95vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.75-1.09vs Predicted
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12Villanova University-0.57+0.41vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.24-1.22vs Predicted
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14Hampton University-0.35-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.46Washington College2.710.2%1st Place
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5.85Old Dominion University2.270.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
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4.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.2%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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4.88Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.53University of South Florida1.250.0%1st Place
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6.07Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.05Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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12.41Villanova University-0.570.0%1st Place
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11.78North Carolina State University-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.95Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charles Nunn | 15.5% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Craven | 8.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 16.1% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Skord | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ian Ikeda | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dean Nixon | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Austin Powers | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Erik Brydges | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rory Mess | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 11.7% | 4.5% |
| Alex Heid | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 15.8% | 24.3% | 40.3% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 19.3% | 26.5% | 25.1% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 16.8% | 27.7% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.