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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.97+6.10vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.42+5.59vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.08+3.85vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.06+7.06vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.55+4.02vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.65+1.96vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10-0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.26+2.12vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.68-1.00vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.84+1.84vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.44-1.04vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.72+0.48vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.60-4.75vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.85-2.64vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.89-6.98vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College0.90-4.69vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida-0.08-2.24vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-9.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1College of Charleston1.979.2%1st Place
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7.59SUNY Maritime College0.427.9%1st Place
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6.85Bowdoin College2.088.7%1st Place
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11.06University of Michigan1.063.3%1st Place
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9.02Jacksonville University1.556.0%1st Place
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7.96Boston University1.658.2%1st Place
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6.67Harvard University2.1010.2%1st Place
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10.12University of Rhode Island1.264.2%1st Place
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8.0Cornell University1.687.4%1st Place
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11.84University of Miami0.843.1%1st Place
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9.96Old Dominion University1.444.0%1st Place
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12.48Hampton University0.722.2%1st Place
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8.25University of Wisconsin1.606.2%1st Place
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11.36University of Vermont0.853.5%1st Place
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8.02Fordham University1.896.5%1st Place
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11.31Eckerd College0.902.8%1st Place
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14.76University of South Florida-0.081.2%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.545.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Anker | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Nick Chisari | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sherman Thompson | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% |
| Matthew King | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Micky Munns | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Ward | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Griffin Richardson | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% |
| Lexie Foos | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 15.5% | 39.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.