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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.97+6.09vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.42+5.83vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.60+5.36vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.08+2.88vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.55+4.10vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.26+4.16vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.65+1.32vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.68+0.22vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.89-1.00vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.90+1.49vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.06-0.24vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.44-2.00vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.85-1.60vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.72-1.68vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.10-8.34vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.84-3.74vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-8.10vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.50-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09College of Charleston1.978.8%1st Place
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7.83SUNY Maritime College0.427.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Wisconsin1.606.3%1st Place
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6.88Bowdoin College2.0810.1%1st Place
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9.1Jacksonville University1.556.2%1st Place
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10.16University of Rhode Island1.264.2%1st Place
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8.32Boston University1.657.2%1st Place
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8.22Cornell University1.687.0%1st Place
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8.0Fordham University1.897.4%1st Place
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11.49Eckerd College0.903.2%1st Place
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10.76University of Michigan1.062.6%1st Place
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10.0Old Dominion University1.444.3%1st Place
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11.4University of Vermont0.852.8%1st Place
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12.32Hampton University0.722.6%1st Place
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6.66Harvard University2.109.8%1st Place
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12.26University of Miami0.842.5%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.545.9%1st Place
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13.26University of South Florida0.501.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Anker | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nick Chisari | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Matthew King | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Micky Munns | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 16.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.4% |
| Lucas Sawin | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Luke Justin | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.