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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.97+6.26vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.55+7.40vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.08+4.00vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.85+7.54vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.68+3.34vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.60+2.51vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.89+0.96vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10-1.04vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.65-0.73vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.57-0.93vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.42-2.93vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.48+1.34vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.26-2.64vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.54-4.88vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.72-2.52vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.06-4.96vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-7.98vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.50-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26College of Charleston1.978.3%1st Place
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9.4Jacksonville University1.555.1%1st Place
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7.0Bowdoin College2.089.4%1st Place
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11.54University of Vermont0.853.1%1st Place
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8.34Cornell University1.687.2%1st Place
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8.51University of Wisconsin1.606.2%1st Place
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7.96Fordham University1.897.5%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University2.1010.2%1st Place
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8.27Boston University1.657.0%1st Place
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9.07Old Dominion University1.575.9%1st Place
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8.07SUNY Maritime College0.427.2%1st Place
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13.34University of Miami0.481.7%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island1.264.3%1st Place
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9.12University of South Florida1.544.5%1st Place
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12.48Hampton University0.722.5%1st Place
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11.04University of Michigan1.063.5%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.5%1st Place
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13.24University of South Florida0.501.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Anker | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Micky Munns | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Nick Chisari | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ashley Delisser | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 24.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 15.2% |
| Sherman Thompson | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Luke Justin | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.