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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.97+6.41vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.06+9.07vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.60+5.35vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.85+7.66vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.08+1.95vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.55+3.18vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.57+2.24vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+1.03vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.48+4.40vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.54-0.77vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.26-0.58vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.10-5.08vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.68-4.80vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.89-5.72vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.42-7.07vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.65-7.75vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.72-4.63vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.50-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41College of Charleston1.978.1%1st Place
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11.07University of Michigan1.063.5%1st Place
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8.35University of Wisconsin1.606.6%1st Place
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11.66University of Vermont0.853.4%1st Place
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6.95Bowdoin College2.088.5%1st Place
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9.18Jacksonville University1.555.1%1st Place
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9.24Old Dominion University1.575.2%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.545.9%1st Place
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13.4University of Miami0.481.8%1st Place
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9.23University of South Florida1.545.3%1st Place
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10.42University of Rhode Island1.263.9%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.109.9%1st Place
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8.2Cornell University1.686.6%1st Place
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8.28Fordham University1.897.4%1st Place
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7.93SUNY Maritime College0.427.4%1st Place
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8.25Boston University1.656.7%1st Place
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12.37Hampton University0.722.5%1st Place
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13.1University of South Florida0.502.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Anker | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Sherman Thompson | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Matthew King | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Lucas Sawin | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Ashley Delisser | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 22.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Zachary Champney | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Nick Chisari | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Micky Munns | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 16.1% |
| Luke Justin | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.