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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.29+2.17vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.54+2.78vs Predicted
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3Ohio University0.02+3.13vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.91+4.07vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University1.30-1.65vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.14+0.42vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University0.11-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.44-3.18vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.23-2.36vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.41-0.93vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-1.46-1.72vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-1.71-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17University of Michigan1.2924.3%1st Place
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4.78Marquette University0.5410.9%1st Place
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6.13Ohio University0.026.3%1st Place
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8.07University of Toledo-0.913.2%1st Place
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3.35Grand Valley State University1.3021.2%1st Place
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6.42Hope College-0.144.9%1st Place
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5.62Northern Michigan University0.117.0%1st Place
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4.82University of Wisconsin0.4412.0%1st Place
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6.64Ohio State University-0.235.5%1st Place
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9.07Michigan State University-1.412.1%1st Place
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9.28Western Michigan University-1.461.7%1st Place
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10.65Michigan Technological University-1.710.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 24.3% | 20.5% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nick Maude | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Alex Schock | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 7.0% |
| Liam Walz | 21.2% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Henry Westlind | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| George Lockwood | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Chase Ireland | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Corinne Nedeau | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 24.7% | 16.2% |
| Abigale Airo | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 17.2% | 25.1% | 19.1% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 17.8% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.