Race 2A

emma-biagioni

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Billy Vogel 24.3% 20.8% 16.7% 13.5% 11.0% 6.4% 4.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Walz 21.9% 21.5% 18.3% 13.2% 10.1% 7.2% 5.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Turner 11.7% 11.6% 11.7% 13.4% 14.0% 11.6% 10.8% 7.2% 4.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1%
George Lockwood 9.7% 10.4% 13.6% 12.2% 11.8% 11.3% 11.3% 8.6% 5.8% 3.9% 0.9% 0.4%
Nick Maude 6.7% 6.3% 8.0% 10.2% 9.6% 11.2% 12.7% 12.6% 10.7% 7.3% 3.9% 0.8%
Chase Ireland 5.5% 5.5% 6.6% 8.2% 9.2% 12.3% 10.3% 12.7% 11.8% 9.8% 6.4% 1.6%
Henry Westlind 7.7% 8.8% 9.4% 10.4% 11.2% 12.2% 11.0% 12.2% 9.3% 5.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Abigale Airo 1.7% 2.0% 1.6% 2.1% 3.2% 4.2% 5.8% 7.6% 11.8% 18.1% 24.9% 17.1%
Jennifer Falkner 5.9% 5.9% 7.5% 8.2% 9.4% 10.0% 12.1% 13.7% 11.9% 9.2% 4.9% 1.1%
Corinne Nedeau 1.7% 2.1% 2.0% 3.2% 3.3% 5.0% 5.0% 7.3% 11.8% 17.0% 24.4% 17.3%
Alex Schock 2.5% 4.1% 3.7% 4.2% 5.3% 7.0% 8.8% 11.6% 14.7% 17.7% 13.8% 6.6%
Avie Krauss 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 2.6% 3.0% 5.8% 9.2% 17.6% 54.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.