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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.54+3.75vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.30+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.29+0.28vs Predicted
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4Ohio University0.02+2.02vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.44-0.10vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.41+3.07vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.23-0.34vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.14-1.72vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-0.91-0.92vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University0.11-4.34vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-1.46-1.75vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-1.71-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Marquette University0.5411.6%1st Place
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3.36Grand Valley State University1.3021.6%1st Place
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3.28University of Michigan1.2923.5%1st Place
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6.02Ohio University0.026.8%1st Place
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4.9University of Wisconsin0.4410.2%1st Place
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9.07Michigan State University-1.411.7%1st Place
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6.66Ohio State University-0.235.5%1st Place
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6.28Hope College-0.145.8%1st Place
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8.08University of Toledo-0.912.8%1st Place
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5.66Northern Michigan University0.117.8%1st Place
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9.25Western Michigan University-1.461.9%1st Place
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10.7Michigan Technological University-1.710.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Turner | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Liam Walz | 21.6% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 23.5% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Maude | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| George Lockwood | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Corinne Nedeau | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 23.9% | 15.6% |
| Chase Ireland | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Alex Schock | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 6.9% |
| Henry Westlind | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Abigale Airo | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 26.6% | 17.3% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.