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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+4.72vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+6.28vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.95+6.77vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.62vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.84+4.79vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.17+2.51vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.81+2.99vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.64+2.66vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.28-1.08vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy4.16-1.23vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.31-3.00vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-0.16vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston4.34-5.35vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.19-5.93vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.61-4.16vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.62-5.10vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.00-3.55vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.49-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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8.28St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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9.77Georgetown University3.950.0%1st Place
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9.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.79Salve Regina University3.840.0%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University3.810.0%1st Place
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10.66Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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7.92Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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11.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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7.65College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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8.07Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.84Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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13.45SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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11.23University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Marco Teixidor | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Patrick Clancy | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| John Stokes | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Criezis | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Peter Stemler | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% |
| Jeff Knowles | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Martin Sterling | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Liberty | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 13.2% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Alan Alkins | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% |
| Ted Green | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 27.4% |
| Will Stocke | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.