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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.75+4.76vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.11+2.90vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+2.06vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.59+2.35vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.01+0.23vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.37+3.26vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.80-1.91vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.05-1.97vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.43-2.25vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73+0.71vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.58-1.21vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.55+0.28vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.07-4.78vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.97-0.89vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Brown University0.759.8%1st Place
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4.9Tufts University1.1114.5%1st Place
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5.06Northeastern University1.1812.8%1st Place
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6.35Fairfield University0.597.4%1st Place
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5.23Boston University1.0112.3%1st Place
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9.26University of New Hampshire-0.372.9%1st Place
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5.09University of Vermont0.8013.1%1st Place
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6.03Bowdoin College0.058.6%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University0.437.1%1st Place
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10.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.731.8%1st Place
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9.79Salve Regina University-0.582.4%1st Place
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12.28Bates College-1.550.9%1st Place
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8.22Harvard University-0.074.8%1st Place
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13.11Middlebury College-1.970.4%1st Place
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11.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.081.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emery Diemar | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brayden Benesch | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 9.2% |
| Emilia Perriera | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 3.5% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 22.7% | 25.8% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Kate Adams | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 19.8% | 43.6% |
| Kai Latham | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.