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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+7.12vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+9.03vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+2.83vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+1.87vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.45+2.61vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.61+1.42vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38-2.33vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99-2.18vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.32-0.58vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.08-1.08vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.97-4.88vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.72-1.75vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-4.97vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55-2.99vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University0.12-2.60vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.78-4.84vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.15-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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11.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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5.83Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.61Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.67Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.92Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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6.12Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.25Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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8.03Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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14.4Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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13.16University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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16.33Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Pope | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 14.4% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Camille Matile | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Morrison | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 1.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 37.8% | 16.8% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 14.6% | 20.6% | 20.8% | 6.4% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 14.2% | 73.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.