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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.29+2.10vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.30+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.44+1.99vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.54+0.76vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University0.11+0.65vs Predicted
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6Ohio University0.02+0.10vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.23-0.41vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.14-1.63vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.41+0.11vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-0.91-1.87vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-1.46-1.67vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-1.71-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Michigan1.2926.2%1st Place
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3.19Grand Valley State University1.3024.6%1st Place
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4.99University of Wisconsin0.449.7%1st Place
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4.76Marquette University0.5410.8%1st Place
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5.65Northern Michigan University0.117.0%1st Place
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6.1Ohio University0.025.1%1st Place
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6.59Ohio State University-0.234.3%1st Place
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6.37Hope College-0.145.8%1st Place
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9.11Michigan State University-1.412.2%1st Place
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8.13University of Toledo-0.911.9%1st Place
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9.33Western Michigan University-1.461.5%1st Place
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10.68Michigan Technological University-1.710.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 26.2% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Walz | 24.6% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Lockwood | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Turner | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Westlind | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Nick Maude | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Chase Ireland | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Corinne Nedeau | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 22.9% | 16.8% |
| Alex Schock | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 5.8% |
| Abigale Airo | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 25.1% | 18.9% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 17.9% | 54.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.