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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+7.14vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+2.66vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+7.99vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+1.92vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.97+0.81vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+0.07vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.45+0.80vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.01-3.26vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.61-2.64vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55-0.17vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.72-1.61vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-4.02vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.32-5.67vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.78-1.84vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.41-8.08vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University0.12-3.42vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.15-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.66Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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5.81Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.8Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.74Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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10.39Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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8.98Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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13.16University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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7.92Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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14.58Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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16.31Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 14.5% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Morrison | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Margaret Bacon | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 22.2% | 22.8% | 6.3% |
| Camille Matile | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 36.8% | 18.0% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 14.5% | 72.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.