Race 5A

emma-biagioni

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Billy Vogel 24.9% 22.1% 16.5% 12.5% 11.5% 6.9% 3.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Walz 23.1% 21.0% 17.5% 13.2% 10.2% 6.9% 4.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Turner 10.8% 11.9% 12.2% 13.7% 12.0% 13.1% 9.4% 7.3% 5.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1%
George Lockwood 10.0% 12.1% 11.5% 13.7% 11.1% 12.2% 10.4% 8.2% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
Nick Maude 6.9% 6.8% 8.6% 8.5% 11.0% 11.6% 12.3% 12.2% 9.8% 7.6% 3.9% 0.9%
Grace Goszkowicz 2.9% 3.3% 4.0% 4.5% 6.1% 7.6% 9.8% 11.5% 13.4% 15.5% 15.1% 6.2%
Henry Westlind 8.0% 8.1% 9.9% 10.8% 11.2% 11.8% 11.1% 11.3% 9.4% 5.2% 2.9% 0.4%
Eva Rossell 4.3% 4.2% 5.5% 6.7% 7.4% 8.6% 11.1% 11.7% 14.0% 14.2% 9.0% 3.1%
Abigale Airo 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 3.2% 2.9% 3.4% 5.5% 7.6% 10.4% 14.6% 25.6% 21.3%
Avie Krauss 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.5% 4.5% 9.1% 16.1% 57.6%
Chase Ireland 3.9% 4.7% 7.3% 7.6% 9.3% 10.2% 11.1% 13.1% 12.3% 10.7% 7.5% 2.3%
Alex Schock 3.1% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 6.2% 5.8% 8.6% 9.7% 12.7% 16.8% 17.6% 7.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.