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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+7.13vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+3.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.97+3.00vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+7.12vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+0.70vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38-1.14vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.72+3.34vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.08+0.83vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.32-0.58vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.41-2.16vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.61-3.66vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55-1.17vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.99-9.03vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.78-2.82vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-1.15-0.81vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University0.12-3.46vs Predicted
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19Yale University2.45-11.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.0Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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11.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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5.7Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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4.86Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.34Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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8.83Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.84Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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5.97University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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13.18University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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16.19Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
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14.54Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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7.89Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 1.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Pope | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Morrison | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 23.1% | 21.6% | 7.3% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 14.3% | 71.8% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 16.2% | 37.2% | 17.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.