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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.29+2.18vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.30+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.44+1.99vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.54+0.61vs Predicted
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5Ohio University0.02+1.16vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University0.11-0.26vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.71+3.80vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.46+1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-0.91-0.77vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-0.23-3.32vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-0.56-3.84vs Predicted
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12Hope College-0.69-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of Michigan1.2922.3%1st Place
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3.18Grand Valley State University1.3024.5%1st Place
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4.99University of Wisconsin0.4410.5%1st Place
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4.61Marquette University0.5412.4%1st Place
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6.16Ohio University0.026.4%1st Place
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5.74Northern Michigan University0.117.1%1st Place
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10.8Michigan Technological University-1.710.8%1st Place
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9.23Western Michigan University-1.461.9%1st Place
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8.23University of Toledo-0.912.5%1st Place
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6.68Ohio State University-0.234.8%1st Place
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7.16Michigan State University-0.563.8%1st Place
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8.05Hope College-0.692.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 22.3% | 21.5% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Walz | 24.5% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Lockwood | 10.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emma Turner | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nick Maude | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Henry Westlind | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 14.9% | 60.6% |
| Abigale Airo | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 25.7% | 18.6% |
| Alex Schock | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 7.3% |
| Chase Ireland | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Eva Rossell | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 2.9% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.