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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.54+3.68vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.30+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.29+0.19vs Predicted
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4Ohio University0.02+2.06vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.56+2.13vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University0.11-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.44-2.07vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.69-0.10vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-1.71+1.79vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-1.46-0.63vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-0.23-4.23vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-0.91-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Marquette University0.5412.2%1st Place
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3.33Grand Valley State University1.3021.3%1st Place
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3.19University of Michigan1.2923.9%1st Place
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6.06Ohio University0.026.6%1st Place
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7.13Michigan State University-0.564.3%1st Place
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5.67Northern Michigan University0.118.4%1st Place
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4.93University of Wisconsin0.4410.3%1st Place
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7.9Hope College-0.693.1%1st Place
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10.79Michigan Technological University-1.710.5%1st Place
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9.37Western Michigan University-1.461.5%1st Place
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6.77Ohio State University-0.234.9%1st Place
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8.17University of Toledo-0.912.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Turner | 12.2% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Liam Walz | 21.3% | 20.8% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 23.9% | 20.9% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nick Maude | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Eva Rossell | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Henry Westlind | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| George Lockwood | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 5.9% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 15.8% | 59.5% |
| Abigale Airo | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 26.5% | 20.2% |
| Chase Ireland | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Alex Schock | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.