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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+4.87vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+3.92vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.28+5.62vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+2.10vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.32+3.27vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.97+0.31vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08+2.38vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-3.16vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.72+1.82vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.61-3.68vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.78+1.61vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-1.56vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.45-5.84vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University1.45-3.33vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55-4.75vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.41-8.76vs Predicted
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19Sacred Heart University0.12-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.27Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.31Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.38Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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4.84Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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10.82Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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13.61University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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11.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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8.16Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.67Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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11.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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8.24Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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15.17Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 15.7% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
| Jonathan Pope | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 22.9% | 23.3% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 5.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 6.2% |
| Joshua Morrison | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 4.8% |
| Camille Matile | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.