← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.28+7.37vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.01+3.92vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.61+4.42vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+7.53vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.99+0.91vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.38-1.03vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.41+1.19vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.02-2.12vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University2.08+0.54vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.32-1.66vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.97-4.66vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College1.72-1.30vs Predicted
-
14Yale University2.45-5.93vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire0.78-1.26vs Predicted
-
16Sacred Heart University0.12-0.95vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55-6.63vs Predicted
-
19Wesleyan University1.45-7.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.37Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
-
5.92Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
7.42Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
-
11.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
-
5.91University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
4.97Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
8.19Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
-
5.88University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
9.54Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
-
8.34Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
-
6.34Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.7Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
-
8.07Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
-
13.74University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
-
15.05Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
-
11.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
-
11.67Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 5.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Margaret Bacon | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 24.9% | 22.4% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 51.1% |
| Joshua Morrison | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 5.3% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.