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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.32+3.10vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.29vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.46+2.80vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-0.19+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.56-1.46vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.44-0.24vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-0.65-0.70vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.60-1.80vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-2.12+0.52vs Predicted
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10Hope College-1.78-1.19vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-1.93-1.90vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-2.72-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Marquette University0.3214.0%1st Place
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3.29University of Wisconsin0.7023.8%1st Place
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5.8Ohio State University-0.466.9%1st Place
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5.21Ohio University-0.199.6%1st Place
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3.54University of Michigan0.5620.8%1st Place
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5.76Grand Valley State University-0.446.7%1st Place
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6.3Western Michigan University-0.655.7%1st Place
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6.2Michigan State University-0.606.8%1st Place
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9.52Northern Michigan University-2.121.5%1st Place
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8.81Hope College-1.782.2%1st Place
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9.1Saginaw Valley State University-1.931.6%1st Place
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10.36University of Toledo-2.720.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Shabino | 14.0% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 23.8% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Flanagan | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Siri Schantz | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Beyer | 20.8% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Corder | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack LeFevre | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Brynna Smith | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 18.7% | 23.8% | 22.6% |
| Audrey Kaczmarek | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 13.0% |
| Sarah Rozboril | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 15.9% |
| Jayson Miller | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.