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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+2.36vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.32+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.56+0.46vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.44+1.78vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.60+1.29vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-0.65+0.24vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.46-1.23vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-0.19-2.78vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-2.12+0.37vs Predicted
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10Hope College-1.78-1.17vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-1.93-1.88vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-2.72-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36University of Wisconsin0.7022.0%1st Place
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4.11Marquette University0.3215.1%1st Place
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3.46University of Michigan0.5620.8%1st Place
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5.78Grand Valley State University-0.447.1%1st Place
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6.29Michigan State University-0.606.8%1st Place
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6.24Western Michigan University-0.655.8%1st Place
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5.77Ohio State University-0.468.1%1st Place
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5.22Ohio University-0.198.5%1st Place
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9.37Northern Michigan University-2.121.5%1st Place
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8.83Hope College-1.781.8%1st Place
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9.12Saginaw Valley State University-1.931.8%1st Place
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10.46University of Toledo-2.720.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 22.0% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 15.1% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Beyer | 20.8% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Corder | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Brynna Smith | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Jack LeFevre | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Erin Flanagan | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Siri Schantz | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 24.4% | 20.9% |
| Audrey Kaczmarek | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 18.8% | 20.3% | 12.3% |
| Sarah Rozboril | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 20.9% | 22.4% | 16.2% |
| Jayson Miller | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 19.3% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.