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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+2.40vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.32+2.17vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.08+1.99vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University0.03+1.01vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.71+1.67vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-0.19-0.66vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-2.12+2.66vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.60-1.64vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.46-2.96vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-0.65-3.59vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-1.93-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-2.72-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4University of Wisconsin0.7021.9%1st Place
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4.17Marquette University0.3216.7%1st Place
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4.99University of Michigan0.0811.1%1st Place
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5.01Grand Valley State University0.0311.2%1st Place
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6.67Hope College-0.715.6%1st Place
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5.34Ohio University-0.198.8%1st Place
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9.66Northern Michigan University-2.121.1%1st Place
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6.36Michigan State University-0.606.9%1st Place
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6.04Ohio State University-0.467.3%1st Place
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6.41Western Michigan University-0.657.0%1st Place
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9.34Saginaw Valley State University-1.931.7%1st Place
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10.62University of Toledo-2.720.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 21.9% | 21.8% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 16.7% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 11.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Bergman | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Siri Schantz | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 16.8% | 27.9% | 23.8% |
| Brynna Smith | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Erin Flanagan | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack LeFevre | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Rozboril | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 18.4% | 26.4% | 19.4% |
| Jayson Miller | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 20.0% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.