← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan0.08+4.01vs Predicted
-
2Grand Valley State University0.03+2.99vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin0.70+0.37vs Predicted
-
4Hope College-0.71+2.72vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University0.32-0.82vs Predicted
-
6Ohio University-0.19-0.64vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University-0.46-1.08vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University-0.65-1.58vs Predicted
-
9Saginaw Valley State University-1.93+0.29vs Predicted
-
10University of Toledo-2.72+0.62vs Predicted
-
11Michigan State University-0.60-4.56vs Predicted
-
12Northern Michigan University-2.12-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.01University of Michigan0.0810.8%1st Place
-
4.99Grand Valley State University0.0311.8%1st Place
-
3.37University of Wisconsin0.7023.4%1st Place
-
6.72Hope College-0.715.5%1st Place
-
4.18Marquette University0.3215.4%1st Place
-
5.36Ohio University-0.1910.0%1st Place
-
5.92Ohio State University-0.467.1%1st Place
-
6.42Western Michigan University-0.656.2%1st Place
-
9.29Saginaw Valley State University-1.931.8%1st Place
-
10.62University of Toledo-2.720.6%1st Place
-
6.44Michigan State University-0.605.5%1st Place
-
9.69Northern Michigan University-2.121.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ephraim | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 23.4% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Bergman | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 1.7% |
| Brittany Shabino | 15.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Siri Schantz | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Erin Flanagan | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Jack LeFevre | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Rozboril | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 19.0% | 24.5% | 18.6% |
| Jayson Miller | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 10.2% | 21.3% | 51.0% |
| Brynna Smith | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 16.7% | 28.0% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.