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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+3.71vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+3.96vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.45+4.98vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32+4.44vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.61+2.26vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+0.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+4.50vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.28+0.40vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.97-2.64vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.72+0.58vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-4.84vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08-2.65vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-4.73vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.78-1.29vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55-4.75vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University1.45-5.28vs Predicted
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19Sacred Heart University0.12-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.96University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.98Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.26Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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11.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.36Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.58Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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6.16Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.35Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.27Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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13.71University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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11.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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11.72Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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15.2Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 16.6% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Margaret Bacon | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Pope | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 4.4% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Camille Matile | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 24.7% | 22.8% |
| Joshua Morrison | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 5.4% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 7.6% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 17.6% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.