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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.32+3.15vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.44+3.86vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.70+0.30vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.56-0.34vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.19+0.38vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.60+0.32vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-0.65-0.62vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.01-0.61vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.46-2.99vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-1.93-0.74vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-2.12-1.32vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-2.72-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Marquette University0.3214.8%1st Place
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5.86Grand Valley State University-0.447.1%1st Place
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3.3University of Wisconsin0.7023.4%1st Place
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3.66University of Michigan0.5618.9%1st Place
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5.38Ohio University-0.198.6%1st Place
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6.32Michigan State University-0.605.6%1st Place
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6.38Western Michigan University-0.657.0%1st Place
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7.39Hope College-1.014.5%1st Place
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6.01Ohio State University-0.466.6%1st Place
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9.26Saginaw Valley State University-1.930.9%1st Place
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9.68Northern Michigan University-2.121.7%1st Place
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10.6University of Toledo-2.720.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Shabino | 14.8% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Corder | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 23.4% | 20.6% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Beyer | 18.9% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Siri Schantz | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Brynna Smith | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Jack LeFevre | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Charles Soucey | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 3.4% |
| Erin Flanagan | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Rozboril | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 25.1% | 17.8% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 26.5% | 25.7% |
| Jayson Miller | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 11.4% | 21.1% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.