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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.27+3.34vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.90+3.39vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.19+4.71vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+1.40vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.59+0.29vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.30+0.53vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.56-1.42vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45-2.26vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.97-4.54vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+0.44vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-0.49vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.16-5.26vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.51-4.01vs Predicted
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15Yale University0.62-2.48vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.16-2.55vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.25vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.46-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Brown University3.270.2%1st Place
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5.39Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.29Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.74Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.46Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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7.74Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.99Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.52Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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13.45University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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14.75Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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16.18Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 17.7% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Orgill | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Henry Lewis | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 13.1% | 2.5% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 22.2% | 20.6% | 8.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 17.7% | 33.8% | 19.8% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 17.7% | 65.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.