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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.32+3.15vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.44vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.56+0.61vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.46+2.01vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.19+0.30vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.44-0.03vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.60-0.58vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-0.65-1.67vs Predicted
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9Hope College-1.01-1.77vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-1.93-0.64vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-2.12-1.33vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-2.72-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Marquette University0.3214.1%1st Place
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3.44University of Wisconsin0.7021.1%1st Place
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3.61University of Michigan0.5620.2%1st Place
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6.01Ohio State University-0.467.8%1st Place
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5.3Ohio University-0.199.0%1st Place
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5.97Grand Valley State University-0.446.7%1st Place
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6.42Michigan State University-0.605.9%1st Place
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6.33Western Michigan University-0.656.5%1st Place
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7.23Hope College-1.014.8%1st Place
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9.36Saginaw Valley State University-1.931.9%1st Place
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9.67Northern Michigan University-2.121.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Toledo-2.720.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Shabino | 14.1% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 21.1% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Beyer | 20.2% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Erin Flanagan | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Siri Schantz | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Corder | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Brynna Smith | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Jack LeFevre | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Charles Soucey | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 8.7% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Rozboril | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 25.8% | 20.0% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 16.5% | 26.9% | 25.1% |
| Jayson Miller | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 21.8% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.