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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+4.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.27+2.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.90+2.54vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.19+3.78vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56+1.39vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.59+0.55vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45-0.08vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.97-2.77vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+2.50vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.30-3.75vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.51-2.04vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.16-5.25vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-2.48vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.16-1.37vs Predicted
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16Yale University0.62-3.63vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.24vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.46-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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4.42Brown University3.270.2%1st Place
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5.54Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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6.39Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.23Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.96Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.75Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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11.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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13.63University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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12.37Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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14.76Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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16.17Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 16.1% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 22.3% | 22.7% | 8.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 2.9% |
| David Tampellini | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 18.3% | 33.9% | 19.4% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 16.0% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.