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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.28+7.51vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.81+8.61vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.17+6.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.16+4.74vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.34+3.02vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.92-0.32vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.06vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.60+3.15vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida4.17-0.36vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.31-1.56vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.95-1.09vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.84-1.42vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.64-2.09vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.62-3.18vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.19-6.41vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-7.63vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-5.04vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.61-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.51Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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10.61Tufts University3.810.0%1st Place
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9.05Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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5.68Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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10.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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11.15SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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8.64University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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8.44Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.91Georgetown University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.58Salve Regina University3.840.0%1st Place
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10.91Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.59Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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11.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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10.98Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Knowles | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Criezis | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% |
| John Stokes | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% |
| Martin Sterling | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Canfield | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Harry Scott | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% |
| Zachary Marks | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Marco Teixidor | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% |
| Peter Stemler | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 15.7% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.