← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Marquette University0.32+3.14vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.39vs Predicted
-
3Ohio University-0.19+2.30vs Predicted
-
4Western Michigan University-0.65+2.42vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan0.56-1.31vs Predicted
-
6Grand Valley State University-0.44-0.12vs Predicted
-
7Michigan State University-0.60-0.65vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University-0.46-2.02vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-1.01-1.67vs Predicted
-
10Saginaw Valley State University-1.93-0.66vs Predicted
-
11Northern Michigan University-2.12-1.43vs Predicted
-
12University of Toledo-2.72-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.14Marquette University0.3214.8%1st Place
-
3.39University of Wisconsin0.7021.1%1st Place
-
5.3Ohio University-0.1910.0%1st Place
-
6.42Western Michigan University-0.656.5%1st Place
-
3.69University of Michigan0.5619.9%1st Place
-
5.88Grand Valley State University-0.446.8%1st Place
-
6.35Michigan State University-0.606.2%1st Place
-
5.98Ohio State University-0.466.8%1st Place
-
7.33Hope College-1.014.0%1st Place
-
9.34Saginaw Valley State University-1.931.6%1st Place
-
9.57Northern Michigan University-2.121.5%1st Place
-
10.6University of Toledo-2.721.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Shabino | 14.8% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 21.1% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Siri Schantz | 10.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack LeFevre | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Zachary Beyer | 19.9% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Corder | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Brynna Smith | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Erin Flanagan | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Charles Soucey | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Rozboril | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 19.2% | 24.2% | 18.7% |
| Andrew Tallmadge | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 26.7% | 24.1% |
| Jayson Miller | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 21.1% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.