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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+4.31vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.19+5.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.27+1.45vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.97+1.39vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.30+2.19vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+5.61vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45-0.11vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.51+1.71vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.56-2.31vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-4.80vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.59-4.41vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-1.49vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.16-6.10vs Predicted
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15Yale University0.62-2.49vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.16-2.57vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.26vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.46-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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4.45Brown University3.270.2%1st Place
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5.39Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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6.89Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.71Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.69Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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7.9Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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12.51Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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13.43University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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14.74Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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16.17Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 15.8% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 1.5% |
| Emily Petno | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Harding | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 2.8% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 7.6% |
| David Tampellini | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 17.4% | 34.2% | 19.4% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 15.6% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.