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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.40+4.26vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.42+1.86vs Predicted
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30.62+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07+0.59vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.84+1.36vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97-3.11vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.13-2.33vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Bates College-0.407.8%1st Place
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3.86Fairfield University0.4214.7%1st Place
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3.510.6217.4%1st Place
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4.59University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.079.5%1st Place
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6.36Middlebury College-0.843.5%1st Place
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2.89Salve Regina University0.9728.3%1st Place
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4.67University of Vermont-0.139.8%1st Place
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4.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.099.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Frary | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 18.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 14.7% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Emily Lau | 17.4% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Timothy Burns | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 8.3% |
| Lucie Rochat | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 43.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 28.3% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.