← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.19+6.54vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.45+4.83vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.59+3.46vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.90+1.59vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.56+1.36vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.96-0.52vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.30+0.38vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.16-0.30vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+2.55vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.27-5.55vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+0.55vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University1.51-3.16vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University2.97-9.58vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire0.16-2.32vs Predicted
-
17Yale University0.62-4.59vs Predicted
-
18Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.21vs Predicted
-
19Wesleyan University-1.20-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.54University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
-
6.83Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.46Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
-
5.59Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.36Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
-
5.48University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
7.38Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
-
7.7Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
-
11.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
-
4.45Brown University3.270.2%1st Place
-
11.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
-
9.84Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
-
5.42Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
-
13.68University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
-
12.41Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
-
14.79Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
15.95Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Penwell | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 15.3% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Kendal Richardson | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 21.0% | 22.4% | 10.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 3.7% |
| David Tampellini | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 31.8% | 23.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 10.0% | 18.2% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.