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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.19+6.55vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.30+5.30vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.97+2.33vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.90+1.54vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+0.20vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.59+0.56vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45-0.10vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.27-3.53vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+2.66vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.51-0.17vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.16-3.10vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.56-7.49vs Predicted
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15Yale University0.62-2.47vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-0.14vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-5.63vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.16-4.33vs Predicted
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19Sacred Heart University-0.43-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.33Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.54Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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4.47Brown University3.270.2%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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9.83Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.9Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.51Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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12.53Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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15.86Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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11.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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13.67University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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14.82Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Penwell | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 13.1% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 16.8% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 1.3% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Harding | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 0.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 4.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 20.0% | 58.2% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 23.8% | 18.9% | 10.1% |
| David Tampellini | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 31.9% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.