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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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10.62+2.54vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.42+1.79vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.40+2.29vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07+0.67vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-0.12vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.84+0.24vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.97-4.03vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.13-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.540.6219.7%1st Place
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3.79Fairfield University0.4216.9%1st Place
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5.29Bates College-0.406.9%1st Place
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4.67University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.079.3%1st Place
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4.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.099.2%1st Place
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6.24Middlebury College-0.844.0%1st Place
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2.97Salve Regina University0.9723.9%1st Place
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4.61University of Vermont-0.1310.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lau | 19.7% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 16.9% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Cameron Frary | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 18.6% |
| Timothy Burns | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 9.3% |
| John Van Zanten | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 13.5% |
| Lucie Rochat | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 39.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 23.9% | 23.2% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.