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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.30+6.17vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.27+2.41vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.90+2.52vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.59+2.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+6.40vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+1.09vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.19+0.71vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+3.20vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.16-2.02vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.97-5.72vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.51-1.95vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.96-8.68vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.16-1.44vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.56-9.37vs Predicted
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17Yale University0.62-4.56vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-1.20-2.09vs Predicted
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19Sacred Heart University-0.43-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.41Brown University3.270.2%1st Place
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5.52Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.52Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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11.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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7.09Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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11.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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7.98Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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5.28Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.05Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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5.32University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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13.56University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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12.44Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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15.91Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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14.82Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Levinson | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 16.3% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Emily Petno | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Peter Christensen | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 23.0% | 21.2% | 9.4% |
| Timothy Harding | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 3.7% |
| Earl Lin | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 19.2% | 58.7% |
| David Tampellini | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 32.3% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.