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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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10.62+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07+2.61vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.84+3.35vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.40+1.27vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.13-1.37vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.42-3.16vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.50.6218.3%1st Place
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4.61University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.079.8%1st Place
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6.35Middlebury College-0.843.1%1st Place
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5.27Bates College-0.407.5%1st Place
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4.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.098.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Vermont-0.1310.4%1st Place
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3.84Fairfield University0.4216.5%1st Place
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3.0Salve Regina University0.9726.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lau | 18.3% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Timothy Burns | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 9.4% |
| Lucie Rochat | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 42.9% |
| Cameron Frary | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 19.3% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 11.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 8.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 16.5% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 26.3% | 20.7% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.