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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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10.62+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07+2.63vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.40+2.26vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.84+2.21vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.42-1.14vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.13vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.97-4.08vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.13-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.60.6217.0%1st Place
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4.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0710.4%1st Place
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5.26Bates College-0.407.8%1st Place
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6.21Middlebury College-0.844.0%1st Place
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3.86Fairfield University0.4215.4%1st Place
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4.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.098.6%1st Place
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2.92Salve Regina University0.9726.6%1st Place
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4.64University of Vermont-0.1310.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lau | 17.0% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Timothy Burns | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 9.2% |
| Cameron Frary | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 18.2% |
| Lucie Rochat | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 39.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 15.4% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 12.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 26.6% | 21.5% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.