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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+2.90vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.40+3.32vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.84+3.28vs Predicted
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40.62-0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07-0.44vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.12vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.97-4.00vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.13-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Fairfield University0.4216.0%1st Place
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5.32Bates College-0.407.0%1st Place
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6.28Middlebury College-0.843.5%1st Place
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3.440.6219.4%1st Place
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4.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0710.0%1st Place
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4.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.098.9%1st Place
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3.0Salve Regina University0.9724.8%1st Place
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4.63University of Vermont-0.1310.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 16.0% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Cameron Frary | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 19.4% |
| Lucie Rochat | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 43.0% |
| Emily Lau | 19.4% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Timothy Burns | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 8.6% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 12.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 24.8% | 22.2% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.