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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.19+6.59vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+4.43vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+2.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.27+0.52vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56+1.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.90-0.34vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.97-1.71vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+3.30vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45-1.93vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.16-2.22vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.30-3.48vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-0.54vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.16+0.59vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-1.20+0.91vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.51-6.13vs Predicted
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18Yale University0.62-5.48vs Predicted
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19Sacred Heart University-0.43-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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6.43Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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4.52Brown University3.270.2%1st Place
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6.38Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.66Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.29Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.78Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.52Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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13.59University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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15.91Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.87Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.52Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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14.84Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Penwell | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 17.0% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Emily Petno | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 22.1% | 21.1% | 10.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 19.5% | 59.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Henry Lewis | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 3.5% |
| David Tampellini | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 32.3% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.