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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.19+6.44vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+4.33vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+2.25vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.97+1.28vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56+1.32vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.90-0.39vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.15+3.91vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+3.20vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+2.52vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.27-5.59vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.30-3.57vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.16+1.47vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.16-5.17vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.45-7.06vs Predicted
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17Yale University0.62-4.62vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.27vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.20-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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6.33Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.28Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.32Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.61Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.91Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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11.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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11.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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4.41Brown University3.270.2%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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13.47University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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7.83Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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12.38Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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14.73Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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15.95Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Penwell | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 11.1% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 10.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Miranda | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Orgill | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 16.7% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 19.8% | 22.1% | 8.5% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% |
| David Tampellini | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 30.3% | 23.6% |
| Earl Lin | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 17.5% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.