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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+3.75vs Predicted
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20.62+1.53vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.42+0.82vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.84+2.32vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.40+0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.13-2.30vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.0910.1%1st Place
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3.530.6218.1%1st Place
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3.82Fairfield University0.4215.7%1st Place
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6.32Middlebury College-0.843.2%1st Place
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5.32Bates College-0.407.0%1st Place
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4.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0710.8%1st Place
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4.7University of Vermont-0.138.9%1st Place
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2.95Salve Regina University0.9726.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Van Zanten | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 10.2% |
| Emily Lau | 18.1% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 15.7% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Lucie Rochat | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 44.1% |
| Cameron Frary | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 19.3% |
| Timothy Burns | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 10.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 9.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 26.1% | 21.2% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.