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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.94+6.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.47vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+3.17vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.67+0.95vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.29+4.76vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+2.21vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82+0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.96+2.79vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.19+1.07vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-2.38vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.96-3.61vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.58-3.00vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.87-5.05vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.39-8.25vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.54-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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6.17Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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4.95Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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9.76Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.95Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.75Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.82Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Saldi | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Bradley Brown | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 15.1% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 14.9% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 23.5% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 14.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Juan Perdomo | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.