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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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10.62+2.58vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.84+4.24vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07+1.65vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.97-1.06vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.42-1.16vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.40-0.73vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-2.13vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.13-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.580.6217.9%1st Place
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6.24Middlebury College-0.843.5%1st Place
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4.65University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.079.9%1st Place
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2.94Salve Regina University0.9725.7%1st Place
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3.84Fairfield University0.4216.4%1st Place
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5.27Bates College-0.406.5%1st Place
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4.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.099.6%1st Place
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4.62University of Vermont-0.1310.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lau | 17.9% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Lucie Rochat | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 41.1% |
| Timothy Burns | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 10.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 25.7% | 22.9% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 16.4% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 18.8% |
| John Van Zanten | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 11.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 10.5% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.