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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.94+6.30vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+6.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.67+1.90vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.87+3.61vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+3.77vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.39-0.22vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82+0.81vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26-1.71vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.19+1.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.25vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.29-1.27vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-4.18vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54-3.87vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.96-6.70vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.96-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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4.9Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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7.61Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.77Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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5.78Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.29Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.73Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.82Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.13Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.3Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Saldi | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 15.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 14.2% |
| Bradley Brown | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 15.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Juan Perdomo | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.