← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07+3.69vs Predicted
-
2Yale University0.62+1.50vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.40+2.32vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University0.42-0.21vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College-0.84+1.26vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.13vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont-0.13-2.40vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University0.97-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.69University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0711.2%1st Place
-
3.5Yale University0.6218.3%1st Place
-
5.32Bates College-0.407.0%1st Place
-
3.79Fairfield University0.4214.9%1st Place
-
6.26Middlebury College-0.844.0%1st Place
-
4.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.097.5%1st Place
-
4.6University of Vermont-0.1310.5%1st Place
-
2.97Salve Regina University0.9726.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Burns | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 11.0% |
| Emily Lau | 18.3% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Cameron Frary | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 18.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 14.9% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 3.2% |
| Lucie Rochat | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 41.9% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 11.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 10.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 26.7% | 20.6% | 19.0% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.