← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University3.26+5.18vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.82+5.63vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.67+1.85vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.19+6.00vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.58+3.75vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.91+1.56vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University2.29+2.65vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+0.22vs Predicted
-
9University of Connecticut1.96+1.78vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.94-2.55vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College3.39-5.07vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University2.54-2.87vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.96-5.33vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.87-6.38vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.18Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
-
7.63Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
4.85Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
-
10.0University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
-
8.75Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
-
7.56Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
9.65Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
-
8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
-
10.78University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
-
7.45Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
-
5.93Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
-
9.13Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
7.67Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
-
7.62Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
-
8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% |
| Ben Weigel | 16.3% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 16.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Jensen | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.3% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 22.6% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% |
| Juan Perdomo | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.