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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+2.82vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.40+3.17vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+1.83vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.84+2.35vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.62-1.42vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.13-2.37vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Fairfield University0.4216.2%1st Place
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5.17Bates College-0.407.1%1st Place
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4.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.098.6%1st Place
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6.35Middlebury College-0.843.5%1st Place
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3.58Yale University0.6217.7%1st Place
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4.64University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0710.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Vermont-0.1310.6%1st Place
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2.97Salve Regina University0.9726.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 16.2% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Cameron Frary | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 17.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 10.8% |
| Lucie Rochat | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 45.2% |
| Emily Lau | 17.7% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% |
| Timothy Burns | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 9.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 9.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 26.1% | 21.6% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.