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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.80+4.30vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.75+3.90vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.01+2.32vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.43+3.05vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.11-0.13vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18-0.89vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.05-0.89vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.59-1.41vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73+1.76vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+1.73vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.58-0.95vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.07-3.67vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.55-0.56vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.87-3.19vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.37-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3University of Vermont0.8012.6%1st Place
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5.9Brown University0.7510.1%1st Place
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5.32Boston University1.0111.6%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University0.435.8%1st Place
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4.87Tufts University1.1113.7%1st Place
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5.11Northeastern University1.1812.8%1st Place
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6.11Bowdoin College0.059.8%1st Place
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6.59Fairfield University0.598.2%1st Place
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10.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.731.8%1st Place
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11.73University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.081.2%1st Place
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10.05Salve Regina University-0.582.1%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University-0.074.9%1st Place
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12.44Bates College-1.551.2%1st Place
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10.81Middlebury College-0.871.5%1st Place
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9.62University of New Hampshire-0.372.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emery Diemar | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Brayden Benesch | 13.7% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 13.2% |
| Kai Latham | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 22.6% |
| Emilia Perriera | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 7.8% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 35.3% |
| Quinn Riordan | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.5% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.