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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+7.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+6.95vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.84+7.41vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+7.67vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.61+6.07vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.34+2.00vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.92-1.30vs Predicted
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8Brown University4.28+0.18vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.95+0.74vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.62+1.40vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.16-2.00vs Predicted
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12Harvard University4.17-2.84vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.10vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.60-3.06vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University4.31-6.93vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.81-5.62vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida4.17-8.07vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.64-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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8.95Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.41Salve Regina University3.840.0%1st Place
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11.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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11.07Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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8.0College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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5.7Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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8.18Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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9.74Georgetown University3.950.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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9.16Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.94SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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8.07Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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10.38Tufts University3.810.0%1st Place
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8.93University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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10.87Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Kirkland | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Patrick Clancy | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 14.7% |
| Alan Alkins | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Canfield | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jeff Knowles | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Marco Teixidor | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% |
| Martin Sterling | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% |
| John Stokes | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% |
| Harry Scott | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Criezis | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Zachary Marks | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Peter Stemler | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.