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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University0.62+2.23vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.42+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.13+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07+0.16vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.84+0.57vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97-3.34vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.40-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Yale University0.6218.1%1st Place
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3.54Fairfield University0.4217.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Vermont-0.1311.3%1st Place
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4.16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0711.1%1st Place
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5.57Middlebury College-0.844.5%1st Place
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2.66Salve Regina University0.9729.7%1st Place
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4.69Bates College-0.408.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lau | 18.1% | 22.2% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 2.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 17.1% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 5.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 11.3% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 10.7% |
| Timothy Burns | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 11.8% |
| Lucie Rochat | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 47.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 29.7% | 22.6% | 19.1% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Frary | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 21.3% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.