Race 4A

bu

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 10.4% 10.3% 10.3% 9.9% 8.3% 7.7% 6.8% 8.0% 6.3% 6.5% 3.8% 4.0% 3.6% 2.1% 2.0%
MaryClaire Kiernan 6.5% 8.8% 8.1% 6.3% 7.8% 7.4% 7.2% 7.3% 7.7% 7.6% 6.0% 6.5% 4.4% 5.7% 2.7%
Juan Perdomo 7.0% 6.7% 9.0% 8.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.5% 7.2% 7.2% 7.6% 7.5% 8.1% 4.8% 3.0% 2.5%
Kaylee Schwitzer 5.0% 5.1% 5.2% 6.0% 6.5% 5.3% 6.2% 6.4% 8.1% 7.7% 7.4% 6.7% 8.5% 8.6% 7.3%
Ben Weigel 14.7% 14.8% 9.5% 10.9% 10.3% 9.6% 8.0% 6.1% 4.3% 4.1% 2.7% 2.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Hunter Johnstone 11.6% 11.4% 9.3% 9.3% 10.2% 9.1% 8.4% 8.2% 5.6% 5.8% 4.1% 2.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5%
Michael Saldi 7.9% 5.4% 8.8% 7.6% 5.7% 7.6% 9.1% 7.9% 8.5% 6.2% 6.8% 4.7% 6.6% 4.2% 3.0%
Robert Lippincott 5.1% 4.4% 5.9% 4.9% 5.7% 5.5% 7.2% 5.6% 6.1% 6.9% 6.9% 9.5% 8.5% 9.7% 8.1%
Patrick Penwell 3.1% 3.1% 3.3% 3.4% 4.5% 5.2% 4.8% 5.5% 6.9% 6.5% 7.2% 9.9% 10.1% 11.3% 15.2%
Laura Dunphy 5.7% 4.4% 6.5% 6.7% 6.2% 6.3% 7.2% 6.6% 7.3% 7.5% 9.6% 5.9% 7.2% 7.8% 5.1%
Bradley Brown 4.9% 5.4% 6.0% 6.2% 5.6% 6.3% 6.3% 6.6% 6.4% 6.8% 7.2% 7.4% 7.9% 9.0% 8.0%
Michael Rottier 2.5% 2.3% 1.3% 2.4% 3.5% 3.6% 4.2% 5.6% 5.1% 4.5% 6.8% 7.8% 9.6% 15.3% 25.5%
Kelly McGlynn 6.1% 6.5% 6.0% 6.4% 7.1% 6.5% 6.2% 7.7% 7.1% 8.9% 8.1% 7.2% 6.9% 5.6% 3.7%
Christopher Jensen 3.5% 3.4% 4.1% 5.1% 5.5% 5.1% 4.8% 5.3% 6.0% 6.7% 7.0% 10.2% 10.3% 9.9% 13.1%
Ryan Schmitz 6.0% 8.0% 6.7% 6.8% 6.3% 7.8% 6.1% 6.0% 7.4% 6.7% 8.9% 6.9% 7.6% 5.6% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.