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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+6.73vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.87+5.48vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+3.19vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+4.67vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54+3.90vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19+4.10vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+0.46vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+0.22vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.29+0.67vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.96-2.53vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.33vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.67-6.85vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.39-6.84vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.94-6.66vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.96-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.48Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.19Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.9Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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9.67Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.47Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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5.15Tufts University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.34Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 15.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% |
| Juan Perdomo | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% |
| Ben Weigel | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Michael Saldi | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.