← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ryan Schmitz 7.7% 6.4% 6.0% 8.2% 6.5% 7.2% 6.5% 6.4% 6.8% 8.1% 6.4% 7.4% 6.2% 5.6% 4.6%
Kelly McGlynn 6.9% 8.1% 6.6% 7.4% 7.8% 6.8% 7.9% 6.3% 6.9% 7.3% 7.1% 6.3% 6.0% 5.7% 2.9%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 9.9% 10.5% 9.6% 8.5% 9.3% 7.4% 8.7% 7.6% 6.6% 5.9% 6.1% 4.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.8%
Kaylee Schwitzer 4.8% 5.3% 6.1% 6.1% 5.2% 6.5% 5.6% 6.9% 7.0% 6.2% 7.7% 7.6% 9.4% 8.1% 7.5%
Robert Lippincott 5.2% 5.3% 5.4% 4.4% 5.4% 5.9% 6.0% 5.6% 7.4% 6.1% 8.3% 7.9% 10.5% 8.2% 8.4%
Patrick Penwell 3.2% 3.9% 3.5% 3.3% 4.6% 3.7% 5.2% 4.6% 6.6% 6.5% 7.5% 10.3% 9.0% 12.4% 15.7%
MaryClaire Kiernan 8.1% 6.2% 6.3% 7.8% 7.0% 8.3% 7.3% 7.3% 6.8% 9.1% 5.3% 6.7% 5.4% 5.6% 2.8%
Laura Dunphy 6.1% 5.7% 7.0% 5.7% 5.8% 6.1% 5.7% 9.5% 6.6% 6.4% 7.6% 7.2% 7.7% 7.3% 5.6%
Christopher Jensen 3.3% 4.2% 3.7% 3.8% 4.3% 5.6% 6.0% 5.6% 6.5% 6.3% 9.9% 8.8% 8.9% 10.9% 12.2%
Juan Perdomo 6.1% 6.0% 8.2% 7.6% 8.0% 7.9% 6.7% 7.9% 8.3% 7.9% 6.2% 5.4% 6.6% 4.1% 3.1%
Bradley Brown 4.4% 5.7% 6.2% 5.5% 5.7% 6.7% 6.9% 6.4% 6.3% 6.1% 6.7% 8.3% 8.7% 7.6% 8.8%
Ben Weigel 13.4% 13.6% 11.4% 10.5% 10.1% 8.4% 9.4% 5.8% 4.5% 4.5% 4.2% 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Hunter Johnstone 10.7% 9.5% 8.4% 9.8% 9.4% 8.7% 7.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.4% 5.2% 3.7% 2.3% 1.9% 1.2%
Michael Saldi 7.4% 6.6% 8.3% 8.2% 7.6% 7.7% 6.1% 6.6% 8.2% 7.5% 6.2% 6.0% 5.7% 5.4% 2.5%
Michael Rottier 2.8% 3.0% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.1% 4.7% 5.3% 4.2% 5.7% 5.6% 7.6% 9.3% 15.2% 23.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.