← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fairfield University0.42+2.39vs Predicted
-
2Bates College-0.40+2.82vs Predicted
-
3Yale University0.62+0.28vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University0.97-1.32vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07-0.87vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont-0.13-1.79vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College-0.84-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.39Fairfield University0.4218.9%1st Place
-
4.82Bates College-0.407.7%1st Place
-
3.28Yale University0.6218.5%1st Place
-
2.68Salve Regina University0.9729.4%1st Place
-
4.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0710.8%1st Place
-
4.21University of Vermont-0.1310.3%1st Place
-
5.49Middlebury College-0.844.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 18.9% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
| Cameron Frary | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 23.7% | 23.2% |
| Emily Lau | 18.5% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 29.4% | 23.2% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Timothy Burns | 10.8% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 11.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 12.7% |
| Lucie Rochat | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.