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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+6.75vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+6.52vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.19+7.02vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+4.78vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University3.26+1.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.87+1.72vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+0.49vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+0.18vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.96-1.72vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.67-5.00vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.94-3.58vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-3.08vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.29-3.00vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.96-3.23vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.39-9.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.52Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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8.78Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.36Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.72Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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10.0Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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5.77Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Juan Perdomo | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Ben Weigel | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Bradley Brown | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.5% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 23.3% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 11.3% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.