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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.07+2.17vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.40+1.71vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.84+1.50vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.13-0.78vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97-3.28vs Predicted
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7Yale University0.62-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Fairfield University0.4216.7%1st Place
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4.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0710.8%1st Place
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4.71Bates College-0.407.5%1st Place
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5.5Middlebury College-0.844.6%1st Place
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4.22University of Vermont-0.1311.1%1st Place
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2.72Salve Regina University0.9729.0%1st Place
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3.17Yale University0.6220.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 16.7% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 4.9% |
| Timothy Burns | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 11.1% |
| Cameron Frary | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 22.1% | 21.2% |
| Lucie Rochat | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 46.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 12.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 29.0% | 22.2% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Emily Lau | 20.3% | 20.7% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.