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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.19+8.41vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.85+5.24vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.67+1.65vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.96+2.95vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University3.26+1.10vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54+2.48vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.39-1.45vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.87-0.63vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.29+0.23vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.72vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-2.59vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-4.58vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.55-4.36vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-6.28vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.66-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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4.65Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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6.95Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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6.1Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.48Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.55Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.37Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.23Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.41Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.64Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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14.55University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Penwell | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 19.3% | 2.6% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Ben Weigel | 15.9% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Perdomo | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.5% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 0.7% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 2.2% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 0.3% |
| Conor Fowler | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 0.9% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Silhavy | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 88.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.