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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.19+8.38vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.39+3.43vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+5.28vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.67+0.76vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.28vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.96+1.06vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.87+0.25vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.55+0.41vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.29+0.25vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54-1.53vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-3.19vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-4.60vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.85-5.35vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University3.26-7.99vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.66-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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5.43Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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4.76Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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7.25Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.41Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.25Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.47Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.65Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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6.01Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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14.56University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Penwell | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 2.4% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 11.5% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 1.1% |
| Ben Weigel | 15.6% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 0.7% |
| Juan Perdomo | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Conor Fowler | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 1.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 0.9% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 1.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Silhavy | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 88.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.