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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+6.68vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.55+6.22vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.67+1.67vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.85+3.30vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87+2.39vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University3.26-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.19+2.52vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.96-0.94vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-0.68vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.66vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.29-1.67vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-4.55vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.39-7.19vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54-5.61vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.66-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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8.22Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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7.3Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.97Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.33Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.81Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.39Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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14.56University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Dunphy | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 0.8% |
| Conor Fowler | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 1.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 15.4% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 2.3% |
| Juan Perdomo | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 1.2% |
| Bradley Brown | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 2.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Silhavy | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 88.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.