Race 10A

bu

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 11.3% 10.2% 10.8% 9.4% 7.6% 10.6% 6.0% 8.4% 7.3% 4.9% 4.8% 3.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.3%
Henry Dumke 6.7% 7.3% 8.6% 7.9% 7.4% 8.2% 7.1% 6.7% 6.8% 7.7% 7.9% 6.6% 6.6% 3.9% 0.6%
Hunter Johnstone 13.1% 10.9% 11.0% 10.7% 9.8% 8.2% 8.2% 7.7% 6.1% 4.7% 4.0% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Patrick Penwell 3.3% 4.0% 3.4% 3.9% 6.0% 4.0% 6.4% 5.1% 6.9% 7.5% 6.6% 10.8% 11.7% 17.3% 3.1%
Ben Weigel 15.6% 13.9% 11.2% 12.4% 9.6% 8.0% 8.5% 6.3% 4.3% 3.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
MaryClaire Kiernan 6.8% 7.1% 8.6% 5.8% 6.8% 8.0% 9.2% 8.5% 8.4% 6.8% 8.4% 6.5% 5.7% 3.3% 0.1%
Courtney Koos 6.1% 5.2% 4.5% 5.5% 5.3% 7.2% 6.8% 6.8% 9.0% 7.7% 8.7% 8.4% 8.7% 9.2% 0.9%
Juan Perdomo 7.7% 10.1% 5.8% 8.2% 6.6% 8.1% 9.1% 7.1% 7.4% 7.8% 5.8% 6.9% 5.7% 3.5% 0.2%
Christopher Jensen 3.4% 3.6% 4.3% 4.3% 4.9% 6.2% 6.2% 6.5% 6.9% 9.0% 6.6% 10.9% 10.5% 14.5% 2.2%
Kelly McGlynn 6.5% 5.4% 8.1% 7.4% 8.7% 7.6% 7.0% 8.5% 7.2% 8.1% 7.7% 6.6% 6.6% 4.2% 0.4%
Laura Dunphy 5.4% 7.5% 7.2% 6.5% 6.4% 7.8% 6.5% 7.0% 7.0% 6.7% 8.1% 7.5% 8.2% 6.8% 1.4%
Bradley Brown 4.7% 4.5% 4.7% 6.1% 7.4% 6.4% 6.7% 6.3% 7.9% 7.4% 7.8% 10.5% 8.8% 10.0% 0.8%
Robert Lippincott 4.7% 4.9% 5.9% 4.2% 6.7% 5.2% 4.9% 6.4% 7.3% 9.5% 10.1% 8.6% 10.3% 10.4% 0.9%
Conor Fowler 4.6% 5.2% 5.5% 7.4% 6.3% 4.3% 7.0% 8.3% 7.1% 8.0% 8.3% 8.1% 9.1% 10.1% 0.7%
Andrew Silhavy 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.3% 0.5% 2.4% 4.0% 88.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.