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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+4.73vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.03+3.39vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.80+3.15vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65-0.16vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+6.59vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.84+0.15vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08+1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.23+0.10vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.01-0.25vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45-2.56vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.32-3.18vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.67-5.14vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12+0.37vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.45-6.70vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.24-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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5.39Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.15Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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3.84Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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11.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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6.15Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.49Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.75Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.44Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.82Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.86Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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13.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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13.02University of Connecticut0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 11.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| James Barry | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Swain | 21.1% | 19.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 21.5% | 22.1% | 14.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Benoit | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| John Silvestri | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Margaret Bacon | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Morrison | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 27.2% | 43.8% |
| Emily Petno | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Myles Gibbs | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 13.0% | 28.2% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.