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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.67+5.62vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.96+3.63vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+4.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03+1.52vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.65-1.08vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.80+0.23vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84-0.92vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.32-0.26vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.23-1.02vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.45-2.56vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.01-2.23vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut0.24+1.29vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-4.30vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-2.38vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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5.63Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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7.27Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.52Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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3.92Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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6.23Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.08Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.77Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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13.29University of Connecticut0.240.0%1st Place
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8.7Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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11.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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13.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Morrison | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| James Barry | 12.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 19.5% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Petno | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Benoit | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Myles Gibbs | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 12.8% | 28.7% | 39.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 20.4% | 22.2% | 13.0% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 12.1% | 25.0% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.