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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+4.66vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut0.24+10.98vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.23+4.93vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.67+2.65vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.32+2.81vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.80+0.22vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84-0.89vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.65-4.15vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.03-3.57vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45-2.53vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-3.66vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.01-3.00vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-4.28vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-2.40vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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12.98University of Connecticut0.240.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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6.65Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.22Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.11Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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3.85Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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5.43Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.47Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.0Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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8.72Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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11.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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13.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Mollerus | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Myles Gibbs | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 14.1% | 25.6% | 37.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Morrison | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Bacon | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 9.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 21.4% | 19.1% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Emily Petno | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Benoit | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 0.9% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 22.6% | 13.5% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 25.3% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.