Race 6B

north-1

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Oliver Riihiluoma 16.6% 19.0% 17.2% 13.8% 13.1% 10.2% 5.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Pedrick 15.4% 15.1% 14.8% 17.7% 13.3% 9.0% 7.3% 3.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Stemler 29.5% 24.7% 18.8% 11.9% 8.6% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Davis 1.2% 0.7% 1.8% 2.1% 3.2% 4.0% 7.8% 8.1% 11.0% 11.3% 17.1% 16.8% 14.9%
Lauren Amery 2.8% 3.0% 2.7% 4.9% 4.5% 9.2% 9.7% 11.8% 13.2% 14.9% 12.0% 8.0% 3.3%
Andrew Cowley 6.3% 6.9% 8.3% 10.5% 13.2% 13.4% 11.8% 10.5% 8.2% 7.1% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Ryan Lee 4.7% 5.1% 6.8% 7.4% 10.5% 10.6% 12.4% 14.5% 12.1% 8.2% 5.5% 1.6% 0.6%
Hannah Burroughs 15.0% 15.5% 16.0% 17.4% 13.3% 11.3% 6.1% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Maher 5.0% 5.2% 6.5% 7.8% 9.2% 13.1% 14.5% 13.7% 11.2% 6.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.6%
Ashley Eberhard 1.3% 2.1% 3.2% 3.1% 4.4% 4.9% 7.6% 10.3% 13.9% 14.2% 14.3% 11.9% 8.8%
Trevor Fournier 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 2.2% 4.3% 4.1% 7.1% 7.8% 11.5% 14.5% 20.2% 24.8%
Kenton Stutz 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 2.8% 3.7% 4.9% 7.7% 8.4% 11.3% 13.0% 22.4% 21.6%
Maryan Gonnerman 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 1.1% 1.7% 2.9% 6.0% 6.3% 8.7% 12.7% 15.2% 16.7% 25.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.