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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.62+2.54vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.08+2.46vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.14-0.25vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.49-1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.40-0.42vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound-0.81-1.93vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound0.03-3.92vs Predicted
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11University of Washington2.13-8.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Western Washington University1.620.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Victoria1.080.1%1st Place
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2.75University of Washington2.140.3%1st Place
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3.77Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Puget Sound-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
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2.75University of Washington2.130.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Vincent | 14.3% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 20.6% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Martin Van Den Berghe | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 22.1% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 2.8% |
| Antonio Johnson | 26.3% | 23.5% | 21.1% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Nelson | 14.1% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 18.7% | 12.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Meigan Blunt | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 21.7% | 26.6% | 12.3% |
| Hannah Schneider-Lynch | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 10.5% | 19.9% | 58.0% |
| Michael Trombatore | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 29.3% | 24.1% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 28.0% | 23.8% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.