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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.06+11.63vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.18+6.66vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.48+1.96vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.62+3.28vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.39+0.14vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+1.49vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.69+3.77vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.40+3.44vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.08+0.64vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.25-4.73vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.24+1.51vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.74-5.17vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.40-7.76vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.76+0.63vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.30-6.11vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-7.09vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.02-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.63Connecticut College0.061.4%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College1.184.7%1st Place
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4.96Harvard University2.4813.8%1st Place
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7.28Boston College1.627.5%1st Place
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5.14Dartmouth College2.3912.8%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.627.0%1st Place
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10.77Northeastern University0.692.5%1st Place
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11.44Boston University0.401.6%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University1.084.2%1st Place
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5.27Yale University2.2511.7%1st Place
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12.51University of Vermont0.241.5%1st Place
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6.83Brown University1.748.7%1st Place
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5.24Roger Williams University2.4012.8%1st Place
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14.63Maine Maritime Academy-0.760.5%1st Place
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8.89University of Rhode Island1.304.2%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.3%1st Place
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12.73Salve Regina University0.021.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rory Murray | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 14.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.8% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 12.8% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Hudson | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 6.6% |
| Oliver Keeves | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 11.7% |
| Cam Spriggs | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alistair Knoblauch | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 44.9% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Robert Heath | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.