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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+9.21vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+6.45vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.95+6.91vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.61+2.75vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.92+0.63vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.19+2.58vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.17+1.57vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.84+1.98vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.54+2.39vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.28-1.53vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.16-2.15vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.60-0.49vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.81-2.95vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.64-3.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-3.32vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida4.17-7.29vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.62-5.83vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.71-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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8.45St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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9.91Georgetown University3.950.0%1st Place
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6.75College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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5.63Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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8.58Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.98Salve Regina University3.840.0%1st Place
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11.39Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
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8.47Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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11.51SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University3.810.0%1st Place
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10.62Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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8.71University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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10.46Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Marco Teixidor | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Allison Blecher | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| John Stokes | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Clancy | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% |
| Katrina Williams | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% |
| Jeff Knowles | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Martin Sterling | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Harry Scott | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 12.4% |
| Andrew Criezis | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% |
| Peter Stemler | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% |
| Daniel Liberty | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 13.5% |
| Zachary Marks | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.