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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+4.49vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32+5.53vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+4.29vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut0.24+9.04vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.67+1.69vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.08+2.57vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.96-1.28vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.84-1.84vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.80-2.88vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.65-6.11vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.01-2.19vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-0.10vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.23-4.70vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.45-6.73vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.29Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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13.04University of Connecticut0.240.0%1st Place
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6.69Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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8.57Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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6.16Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.12Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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3.89Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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8.81Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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11.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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13.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Barry | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| John Silvestri | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Myles Gibbs | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 14.2% | 25.1% | 37.6% |
| Ryan Morrison | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 19.5% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Benoit | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 20.4% | 25.6% | 13.7% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Emily Petno | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 24.8% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.